Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.903671 1.018397 1.143583 1.290565 1.458715 1.645425 1.868934
2024-12-29 0.729792 0.885305 1.069310 1.304117 1.597251 1.953018 2.420372
2025-01-05 0.621176 0.790586 1.001966 1.287066 1.664557 2.151409 2.833564
2025-01-12 0.547150 0.723891 0.954131 1.279094 1.730843 2.343837 3.250909
2025-01-19 0.473985 0.647382 0.881438 1.224502 1.721294 2.425007 3.516003
2025-01-26 0.438740 0.617285 0.866435 1.244843 1.814461 2.655160 4.018459
2025-02-02 0.410150 0.592796 0.855493 1.267691 1.910742 2.896729 4.564406
2025-02-09 0.382035 0.565739 0.837296 1.276240 1.983822 3.107643 5.084419
2025-02-16 0.357001 0.540645 0.819076 1.281733 2.050747 3.313296 5.618152
2025-02-23 0.339125 0.524718 0.813038 1.305079 2.147640 3.576465 6.282006
2025-03-02 0.311592 0.491085 0.775832 1.273119 2.146980 3.671420 6.652385
2025-03-09 0.298505 0.479586 0.773214 1.298584 2.247338 3.952855 7.404417
2025-03-16 0.278212 0.454974 0.747455 1.282678 2.274146 4.107319 7.939424
2025-03-23 0.264707 0.440748 0.738097 1.294888 2.353635 4.368916 8.725977
2025-03-30 0.247748 0.419196 0.714179 1.278082 2.375986 4.521658 9.305553
2025-04-06 0.233759 0.401761 0.696060 1.270161 2.414174 4.708965 9.984087
2025-04-13 0.214250 0.373079 0.655534 1.215991 2.354923 4.690539 10.201221
2025-04-20 0.206836 0.365782 0.653534 1.236175 2.448208 5.000404 11.214139
2025-04-27 0.200264 0.359528 0.652915 1.258847 2.548636 5.336466 12.338873
2025-05-04 0.192354 0.350183 0.645670 1.267330 2.619417 5.614710 13.363749
2025-05-11 0.184640 0.340669 0.637362 1.272781 2.683895 5.885584 14.411074
2025-05-18 0.179452 0.335674 0.637515 1.295946 2.790049 6.265339 15.802804
2025-05-25 0.168658 0.318960 0.613092 1.264233 2.767668 6.335600 16.370220